daly Federal Reserve
  • US economy is strong and consumers are continuing to spend
  • Labor market remains strong
  • Inflation is too high
  • Fed is working to get inflation down without stalling economy
  • Not concerned about over-cooking things on rate hikes
  • We are dialing back support to the economy
  • July FOMC will be "a good discussion"
  • UMich data on consumer inflation expectations was 'a good thing'
  • We're starting to see green shoots of hope forming in the housing market
  • I don't have a recession in a high spot on the list of possible outcomes
  • Now it's about getting inflation down
  • Campsites and restaurants are packed

We heard from Daly already late Wednesday when she said her most favoured response is a 75bp rate hike but that 100 bps was possible.