Reserve Bank of Australia Assistant Governor Kent:

  • fall in trade-weighted A$ will add only modestly to inflation
  • while A$ down 14% on US$ this year, its trade-weighted index has fallen only 2%
  • estimate dip in the TWI will add only 0.2 ppt to CPI inflation over a few years
  • A$ TWI has moved broadly in line with fundamentals, commodity prices
  • broad rise in US$ will raise import costs for many countries
  • higher US$ will restrain demand for u.s. goods, commodities and global inflation
  • strong US$ of concern to emerging markets with high levels of us$ debt
  • Australian offshore debt well hedged, and higher US rates should not affect local bank borrowing costs
  • repeats RBAboard expects to increase interest rates further in the period ahead
  • size and timing of rate increases will depend on incoming data

Headlines via Reuters

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