ForexLive Asia FX news wrap: EU planning for no-(trade)– deal Brexit
Forex news for Asia trading for Thursday 19 November 2020
- Tokyo will report more than 500 new coronavirus cases today
- Coronavirus - Poland reportedly considering a nationwide lockdown
- More Asia FX intervention hints
- Oil to trade a little stronger on positive vaccine developments says Citi
- EUR has moved ahead of the USD again as the top global payments currency
- China President Xi speaking - will expand domestic demand
- South Korea fin min says won moves are excessive - will take steps to stabilise
- Coronavirus - Minnesota tightens restrictions for 4 weeks
- Coronavirus - related announcement coming from Tokyo later Thursday
- ANZ are expecting the RBA to ease policy further
- China iron ore futures hit a record high
- BlackRock CEO says Biden’s victory should bring stability and an easing of geopolitical tensions
- PBOC sets USD/ CNY reference rate for today at 6.5484 (vs. yesterday at 6.5593)
- FX option expiries for Thursday November 19 at the 10am NY cut
- AUD had a small pop on the good jobs number beat, back to little changed now
- Australia Employment Change: +178.8K (vs. expected -27.5K) & Unemployment Rate: 7.0% (vs. expected 7.1%)
- GBP getting sold off on report of EU proposal for a no deal Brexit
- Goldman Sachs like commodities - at the beginning of a structural uptrend
- 3 reasons Bitcoin won't become an everyday currency
- US says has serious concerns on China disqualifying elected legislators in Hong Kong
- HSBC cite two bearish influences for gold and post their downside target
- US coronavirus deaths now climb above 250,000
- U.K. & Canada preparing to sign off on a new Trade Agreement
- US Senate is preparing to shut for recess, no vote on Shelton for the Fed
- Trade ideas thread - Thursday 19 November 2020
- Fed's Barkin is still going - re more stimulus, 'let's see how it goes'
Coronavirus vaccine developments are the driver of market sentiment and moves at present but for GBP we also have Brexit-related headlines. Today's for Asia was news in the UK Times that the EU fears that deadlines will not be met for negotiations to reach an agreement and this is endangering business planning - there is a need for contingency measures should a 'no-deal' exit be the result (see bullets above for more).
GBP dropped from circa 1.3265 to lows under 1.3230.
Major currencies, too, lost ground against a better bid USD, pretty much across the board with lower for EUR, AUD, NZD, CAD yen and CHF. However, as I post there has been some recovery (results vary by currency).
There was an absence of any new coronavirus news, Japan is conducting meetings to discuss a response to a resurgence in cases in the country. John Hopkins University data reported the US had surpassed a death toll of 250,000 on Wednesday. President-elect Biden is still not receiving briefings which will further endanger lives in the global epicentre of infection.
On the data front the focus was the Australian employment report with showed a huge beat on expectations with a job boost of +178,000 in October, and an unemployment rate (small) beat of 7.0%. See the bullets above for more, but the long story short is Australia is still a long way from recovering all the jobs lost but at least today's data was in the right direction. The data gave AUD/USD a small blip up upon release but as I update its little changed from going into the release.
Couple of other items to note briefly:
- China' most actively trade iron ore futures in Dalian gained over 2% to hit a record high price
- South Korea warned it would take action on a rapidly appreciating won, and indeed the BoK is reported to have sold currency as intervention today
- Thailand's central bank warned it too would act appropriately to cap the rise in the baht
- Expect UK PM Boris Johnson to make an announcement today of a GBP16.5 bn increase in defence spending over the next 4 years