Fed's Goolsbee
Fed's Goolsbee
  • Goods price inflation is back to normal and surprising progress on services inflation too
  • Says they need to see more progress on housing inflation
  • When the unemployment rate goes up, it tends to go up rapidly; we haven't had that
  • We're coming into 2024 in a much better place than we came into 2023
  • The market should be focusing on economic data
  • "We are definitely not off the Golden Path"
  • The Fed is not facing an imminent threat from the labor market
  • If inflation progress reverses, it could merit a rate hike

The comment on services inflation is one that I haven't heard before but overall, there's a clear message here:

"If we continue making strides against inflation, we must reflect that in our policy rates," he said.

That's a conditional call to cut.