An Alco poll puts Syriza 6.6 percentage points ahead. Through most of the month, the lead was 3-4 points but all polls over the past few days have showed that lead extending.
Ryan previews the Greek election.
If Syriza win initially then that might just keep the pressure on the downside in EUR/USD, but we’re likely to be going through several days of uncertainty while they try to form a majority government. On the election alone the market will tread water until a final outcome is clear
Other polls have given Syriza anywhere from a 5 to 10 (!) point lead but undecideds in the 9-18% range.
Update: Moments later, a poll from Kapa Research shows the Syriza lead narrowing to 2.9 points so there’s plenty of uncertainty.
