The Federal Open Market Committee decision will be announced on November 8 at 1900 GMT
Attention is pretty much focused on the mid term US election tomorrow, and I am not sure there will be too much focus on the Fed the day after, their path seems pretty set. But, its a big event nonetheless and we don't want to get complacent.
Here are preview thoughts via Nomura:
Since the meeting in September, the economy has remained on a solid footing.
- In the post-meeting statement, the FOMC will likely state that economic activity continued to grow steadily rather than "rising at a strong rate."
Because of a slowdown in non-residential fixed investment growth in Q3 GDP following the acceleration in previous quarters, there is some risk of the FOMC downgrading its assessment of business investment growth.
Recently, financial conditions have tightened somewhat, driven by sharp declines in equity prices.
However, we view it as unlikely for the FOMC to react to this development at the moment.
Against the backdrop of the recent convergence of the effective federal funds rate (EFFR) to the interest paid on reserves (IOR), the FOMC may discuss the possibility of introducing another widening of the gap between the IOR and the upper limit of the fed funds target range. Such a discussion could be reflected in the minutes of the November meeting along with any additional comments regarding longer-run issues such as the Fed's implementation framework or alternative monetary policy strategies.
