Barkin is the president and chief executive officer of the Richmond Fed, speaking in an interview with CNBC

  • escalating cases will hurt us in first quarter, first half
  • second half will be very strong
  • it will be 'bumpy' but elevated saving, potential for more stimulus are backstops
  • will see stronger inflation in 2q because of lower inflation a year earlier
  • says expect fiscal support to boost spending over several years

He's still nattering on:

  • you would need to see substantial progress toward goals before discussion on qe taper gets on the table
  • it's important for fed to go as hard as we can to try to achieve goals
  • unemployment rate is not a good measure for where economy is now
  • says labor force participation is the bigger issue; it has taken a big hit
  • says a lot of jobs will come back with vaccines