ForexLive Asia FX news wrap: RBA sends AUD down again
Forex news for Asia trading Friday 8 February 2019
- St. Louis Fed President James Bullard spoke earlier - more and recap
- Responses to the RBA Statement on Monetary Policy
- Iron ore prices (futures) climb further on more Vale concerns
- EUR/USD technical analysis chart, support & resistance levels
- MOAR Bullard: Considers current levels of rates as somewhat restrictive
- Yonhap: US asks North Korea to dismantle all missiles
- Fed's Bullard: Do not have a lot of inflation in US today
- AUD marked lower on the RBA Statement.
- RBA Statement on Monetary Policy: RBA lowers its GDP forecasts substantially
- Reports that Trump to ban Chinese telecom equipment from US wireless networks
- Brexit - UK press reports that PM May has approached Labour MPs for support
- BoP Japan Current account balance, December: Y 452.8bn (expected Y 469.3bn)
- Japan December Labor cash earnings: 1.8% y/y (expected 1.7%)
- Japan household spending for December: +0.1% y/y(expected 0.8%)
- US warns on use of Huawei, other Chinese equipment in critical infrastructure
- ASB dial back their RBNZ rate hike expectations
- Here we go - another secret Brexit plan
- Note for the diary - Fed Chair Powel to testify to Senate on February 26
- Trade ideas thread - Friday 8 February 2019
- EUR traders - ECB to reduce its growth forecasts … might even discuss a dovish change to guidance
- US stocks finish solidly lower but pare losses late
The drop in the Australian dollar, from just under 0.7100 to lows just above 0.7060 came on the release of the RBA's quarterly Statement on Monetary policy today. The bank took some hefty cuts out of economic growth forecasts and also were a little more circumspect on labour markets and inflation. This follows Governor Lowe's swinging the bank to a neutral bias earlier in the week, from its oft-reiterated tightening bias prior.
The projections today suggest the Bank could probably swing to an easing bias without too much more of a nudge, but given how long it took them to pronounce on being neutral its likely best not to hold your breath.
So, the AUD took another tumble, capping off a weak week. There are plenty of reports about how terrible a week its had, but from the RBA's perspective, it has had a marvellous week, a lot lower! This will not be unwelcome at the Bank (nor by me). AUD/USD is up a few points from its lows as I update:
NZD/USD is net higher on the session. It fell alongside the AUD earlier, not to the same extent, but has since recovered and posted gains toward 0.6755. Even as NZ 10 year bond yields fell to their lowest ever, circa 2.08%. CAD lost a little more ground against the USD but without swinging in a large range.
EUR, CHF, yen, GBP have all traded with not much gusto against the dollar since US markets shut up shop for the Thursday.
A heads up, Chinese markets reopen on Monday. Trade issues will be front and centre with the past few days bringing less encouraging headlines (and more today on Huawei, see bullets above).
Still to come:
- Coming up from Canada on Friday, January employment report - preview
- Forex options expiries today, for the 10am NY cut
- Reserve Bank of New Zealand monetary policy meeting next week - preview
- AUD traders - Aussie and China developments to watch next week