US NFP data is due Friday 8 October 2021 at 1230 GMT.

Earlier post:

Goldman Sachs on what they expect:

  • estimate nonfarm payrolls rose 600k in September
  • unemployment rate to 5.1%


  • we believe the nationwide expiration of enhanced unemployment benefits on September 5 boosted effective labor supply and job growth
  • We are assuming a 200k boost in tomorrow’s numbers and a larger boost in October.
  • We also believe the reopening of schools contributed to September job growth, by around 150k