The closely watched Newshub-Reid Research Poll was released on Sunday

  • Ardern's Labour Party at to 50.1%
  • Main opposition National Party on 29.6%

As seats the numbers translate to:

The closely watched Newshub-Reid Research Poll was released on Sunday

Ardern governs at present with support of another party (NZ First), that in coalition. The numbers at present give here the ability to form a government without coalition support. Which is probably comforting as NZ First are nowhere to be seen in polling ... 1.9%!

The election is on Saturday 17 October so there is still time for change. But its not looking good for the main opposition party at this stage.