Minutes of the Reserve Bank of Australia May monetary policy meeting

  • Board agreed there was not a strong case for near-term move in policy
  • Given current circumstances, board agreed next move in rates likely to be up, rather than down
  • Progress on unemployment and inflation likely to be only gradual
  • Inflation to remain low for some time given retail competition, slow wage growth
  • March qtr inflation data in-line with bank's expectations
  • An appreciation in the AUD would slow expected acceleration in growth, inflation
  • Wages expected to pick up gradually as leading indicators pointed to more job gains
  • Still uncertainties remain on extent, speed of pick-up in wages and inflation
  • Strength in employment has supported household consumption so far
  • High household debt poses uncertainty for consumption outlook
  • Consumption "relatively resilient" to slower growth in household income over recent years
  • Conditions in global economy positive, China debt levels an important risk

The quick headlines are via Reuters

Anyone see anything surprising in that lot? I don't. There is a comment on the AUD, the same sort of comment we get quite often in the Bank minutes. AUD/USD is down 6 points or so as I update. Zzzzzzzzzzzzzzz-fest.

Full text:

Minutes of the May 2018 Monetary Policy Meeting of the Reserve Bank Board