The Tankan is a survey of both manufacturing and service companies designed to assess business conditions in Japan.
Tankan Large Manufacturing Index comes in at +14
- expected 12, prior was 18
- lowest since June 2021
- first fall from the previous quarter in 7 quarters
Tankan Large Non-Manufacturing Index 9
- expected 5, prior was 9
- first fall from the previous quarter in 7 quarters
Tankan Large Manufacturing Outlook 9
- expected 10, prior was 13
Tankan Large Non-Manufacturing Outlook -10
- expected 8, prior was 8
As part of the survey is the inflation expectations section:
- firms expect CPI +1.6% y/y three years from now (was +1.3% in the previous survey)
- and expect CPI +1.6% y/y 5 years from now (from +1.4%)
There are also FX forecasts for firms:
- firms see USD/JPY averaging 111.93 for the fiscal year 22/23
- see EUR/JPY averaging 128.18 for FY 22/23
USD/JPY is little changed on the data publication, up a few tics only