Russell 2000 threatens a breakout

One of the best charts out there right now is the Russell 2000 index of US small(er) caps. It's been consolidating for nearly a year now in a narrow range.

That's after it made a big move up after the pandemic and then another leg higher on the reflation trade. That there was no significant pullback from the high is bullish and I suspect most people assume it's only a matter of time until it breaks.

That time might be now. It briefly ticked to a new 2021 high today before giving some back. Here's the ETF chart because it's a pain to get the cash version and they look the same anyway.

Russell 2000 threatens a breakout

The caveat though is some compositional issues. The two largest components of the index are now CAR and AMC. If you haven't seen what's happening in CAR today -- it's Avis car rental -- then have a look. It's meme mania and that's the kind of thing to keep in mind if you're looking for a reason not to believe in the breakout.

That said, all the main US indexes and the MSCI world index all hit new highs today and continue to trade strongly. The S&P 500 was last up 19 points to 4624.