Traders are scratching their heads after the Philly Fed. The general business conditions index rose to the highest since March 2011 but 7 of 9 of the sub-components indicators declined, including the key new orders, employment and shipments numbers.

Philly Fed components

Philly Fed components

The good news was in the components of the future outlook survey, where 8 of 10 sub-components surged.

Philly Fed components future

Philly Fed outlook for 6 months.

It’s a strange contrast and in general the market is skeptical of any future optimism because so many false dawns in the US economy have turned into duds.