Shows how much I know then, but I got the price action right at least!

  • Weale and McCafferty switch vote to hold
  • QE vote 9-0 as prev/exp

GBPUSD down to 1.5081 on the headline which will please us bears

The Governor invited the Committee to vote on the propositions that:

  • Bank Rate should be maintained at 0.5%;
  • The Bank of England should maintain the stock of purchased assets financed by the issuance of central bank reserves at £375 billion.

Regarding Bank Rate, the Committee voted unanimously in favour of the proposition.

Regarding the stock of purchased assets, the Committee voted unanimously in favour of the proposition.

  • decision for hawks to change vote was finely balanced
  • they now agree that rate rise would increase chances of prolonged low inflation
  • MPC sees a “roughly even ” chance that CPI will fall below 0% at some point in H1 2015
  • downward effect on CPI likely to be temporary if oil prices stabilise
  • MPC alert to low inflation impact becoming entrenched
  • growth remains solid in UK and US
  • Eurozone risks have increased
  • monetary policy could and would be adjusted atappropriate time for 2% inflation target to be hit
  • sees medium-term upside pressure on CPI from faster increase in incomes
  • sees early signs of wages pick-up, lower mortgage rates

Full MPC Minutes here

GBPUSD finding some support into 1.5075 and bouncing to 1.5105 as traders digest better jobs/wages data too

EURGBP took out the 0.7650-55 offers but baulked at taking on the next lot at 0.7685