Q&A with Carney

  • Repeats tightening line and adds that this is going to be a more challenging time for UK households

  • Smooth Brexit assumes there will be an agreement on future trading
  • We have not made a forecast on a disorderly Brexit transition (short sighted??)
  • Squeeze on real household income is not all because of Brexit
  • Weak wage growth partly reflects poor productivity

The pound is falling again because he's making a case that the negatives in the economy aren't just due to Brexit but were in place before that all kicked off. That's dovish in its insinuation.

  • There is evidence that some firms are hesitating to bring in higher wage costs during uncertainty around Brexit
  • We do expect real income to turn positive over next few years