AUD/USD at risk of dropping under 0.60 (unless China stimulates, big time)

Commonwealth Bank of Australia flagging the risk of a sharper decline for the Australian dollar. Say AUD AUD The Australian dollar (AUD) is the official currency of Australia, which is also used in Christmas Island, Cocos (Keeling) Islands, Norfolk Island, as well as independent pacific states.Introduced in 1966, the AUD is currently the fifth most traded currency in the world, behind only the US dollar, euro, Japanese yen, and British pound.The currency is very important to forex markets and is routinely used as a carry trade against other majors.The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) is the central bank The Australian dollar (AUD) is the official currency of Australia, which is also used in Christmas Island, Cocos (Keeling) Islands, Norfolk Island, as well as independent pacific states.Introduced in 1966, the AUD is currently the fifth most traded currency in the world, behind only the US dollar, euro, Japanese yen, and British pound.The currency is very important to forex markets and is routinely used as a carry trade against other majors.The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) is the central bank Read this Term will continue to underperform in 2023:

• We consider there is a growing risk that the Aussie dips below $0.60 before year-end.
• It will likely take a big Chinese stimulus package focused on commodity-intensive infrastructure spending to turn around the downtrend.

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The prospect of a big Chinese stimulus package seems remote. Despite the big words from the People's Bank of China, for example, they delivered a very disappointing monetary stimulus today:

• PBOC Loan Prime Rates (LPR) CUT: 1-year 3.45% (prior 3.55%) & 5 year 4.2% (prior 4.20%)

If the Australian dollar continues to dribble lower it'll be a factor for inflation Inflation Inflation is defined as a quantitative measure of the rate in which the average price level of goods and services in an economy or country increases over a period of time. It is the rise in the general level of prices where a given currency effectively buys less than it did in prior periods.In terms of assessing the strength or currencies, and by extension foreign exchange, inflation or measures of it are extremely influential. Inflation stems from the overall creation of money. This money is m Inflation is defined as a quantitative measure of the rate in which the average price level of goods and services in an economy or country increases over a period of time. It is the rise in the general level of prices where a given currency effectively buys less than it did in prior periods.In terms of assessing the strength or currencies, and by extension foreign exchange, inflation or measures of it are extremely influential. Inflation stems from the overall creation of money. This money is m Read this Term, making imports more expensive at the margin.