The Reserve Bank of Australia titled more hawkish in its decision and Governor Lowe's statement yesterday:

CBA had been forecasting yesterday's rate hike as the last, but have now tipped 3.85% as the terminal rate yet to come, from its prior 3.35%

Via Gareth Aird, head of Australian economics at CBA

  • the surprise was not in the decision, but rather the shift in tone and forward guidance in the Governor’s Statement
  • This change implies that the RBA Board has essentially made up their mind and intend to raise the cash rate further over coming months, if the economic data prints in line with their updated forecasts

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There will be new forecasts from the RBA on Friday this week:

Australia's negative real cash rate features on the front page of the Reserve Bank of Australia website:

rba cash rate inflation

The next official CPI data is due on March 1, when we'll get the monthly CPI data for January.