ECB's Nagel
ECB's Nagel

ECBs Nagel is on the wires saying:

  • Cannot be lenient with structural inflationary forces.
  • Greater supply chain resilience, which comes at a cost, looming labor shortages amid a demographic decline, and the green transition could all put upward pressure on prices
  • To improve resilience, some form of de-risking seems reasonable
  • Should keep in mind that greater security for supply chains is likely to come with some additional price pressures.
  • These potential that Germany's labor force will decline by 80,000 per year from 2026 putting upward pressure on wages and thus prices.
  • Says that these inevitable changes should not increase easy B's tolerance for inflation which is now targeted at 2%.
  • If there is more price pressure in the medium-term, ECB must take action against it.

Comments from Nagel are cautionary especially in the longer term