caricature of jerome powell capitol

If you want to know what's coming at the top of the hour, read my FOMC preview.A hike would take the Fed funds rate to 5.00-5.25%.

Here's what the Fed funds futures market sees:

  • 90% chance of of a 25 bps hike today
  • 10% chance of no change
  • Virtually no chance of a hike for the June 14 meeting priced in
  • Year-end Fed funds futures 4.376%, which is nearly 75 bps below the expected peak