HICP (flash) Jobless Producer Prices
– April – Rate (%) – March –
%yoy – March – %mom %yoy

Median Forecast 2.5 10.9 0.5 3.4
High forecast 2.7 10.9 0.8 3.7
Low forecast 2.2 6.7 0.4 3.2
Previous period 2.7 10.8 0.6 3.6

Number of responses 19 14 7 8

4Cast 2.5 10.8 0.5 3.3
ABN AMRO 2.5 10.9 N/A N/A
Barclays Cap. 2.5 10.9 0.6 3.4
Berenberg Bank 2.6 10.9 N/A N/A
BNP Paribas 2.5 10.9 N/A 3.2
Capital Economics 2.2 N/A 0.6 3.4
Citi 2.6 10.9 N/A N/A
Commerzbank 2.5 N/A N/A N/A
DZ Bank 2.5 N/A 0.4 N/A
Danske 2.6 10.9 N/A N/A
ING 2.5 6.7 N/A N/A
Lloyds Bank 2.5 10.9 0.5 3.3
LBBW 2.6 10.9 N/A N/A
Nomura 2.5 N/A N/A N/A
Soc. Generale 2.6 10.9 N/A N/A
Standard Chartered 2.7 10.9 0.4 3.3
UBS 2.5 10.8 N/A N/A
West LB 2.7 10.9 0.8 3.7
Westpac 2.5 N/A N/A 3.7

M3 – March Priv Sect Jobless
%yoy 3mma Lending Rate
(%yoy) (%yoy) (%)

Median Forecast 2.8 2.7 2.6 10.9
High forecast 3.2 2.8 2.8 10.9
Low forecast 2.4 2.3 0.8 6.7
Previous period 2.8 2.3 0.7 10.8

Number of responses 17 10 3 14

4Cast 2.6 2.6 2.6 10.8
ABN AMRO 2.6 N/A N/A 10.9
Barclays Cap. 2.8 N/A N/A 10.9
Berenberg Bank 2.8 N/A 0.8 10.9
BNP Paribas 3.0 2.8 2.8 10.9
Capital Economics 2.8 N/A N/A N/A
Citi 2.8 2.7 N/A 10.9
Commerzbank 2.7 N/A N/A N/A
DZ Bank 2.6 N/A N/A N/A
Danske 2.8 2.3 N/A 10.9
ING 2.7 2.7 N/A 6.7
Lloyds Bank N/A N/A N/A 10.9
LBBW 3.0 N/A N/A 10.9
Natixis 2.4 2.6 N/A N/A
Soc. Generale 3.1 2.8 N/A 10.9
Standard Chartered 2.9 2.6 N/A 10.9
UBS 3.2 2.8 N/A 10.8
West LB 2.9 2.7 N/A 10.9

Retail Sales
– March –
%mom %yoy

Median Forecast -0.2 -1.3
High forecast 0.3 -0.9
Low forecast -0.4 -2.1
Previous period -0.1 -2.1

Number of responses 12 7

4Cast -0.4 -1.1
ABN AMRO -0.2 N/A
Barclays Cap. 0.3 N/A
Berenberg Bank 0.3 N/A
BNP Paribas -0.2 N/A
Capital Economics -0.2 -1.3
Citi -0.2 N/A
Lloyds Bank -0.3 -1.3
Soc. Generale 0.1 -2.0
Standard Chartered -0.2 -1.3
UBS -0.1 -2.1
West LB -0.3 -0.9

———————————————————————–
* Median is based on above forecasts and is not intended to represent
a consensus.

The survey was conducted on Friday, April 27.

[TOPICS: MTABLE,M$GDS$,M$G$$$,M$XDS$,M$X$$$]