Fed Powell's prepared text released

The prepared remarks from Fed's chair Powell's testimony before the joint economic committee in Congress says:

  • Policy appropriate as long as economy stays on track
  • Baseline Outlook favorable but noteworthy risks remain
  • Sluggish growth abroad, trade uncertainty pose risks
  • Monitoring financial risks that are at moderate levels
  • Price pressures mutes, expectations at low end of range
  • Business debt high, core of financial sector resilient
  • Says he remains concerned by high, rising federal debt
  • Investors risk appetite elevated in some asset classes
  • Fiscal policy support important for economy in downturn
  • Consumption solid; job market, incomes favorable
  • A sustainable expansion of economic activity, strong labor market and inflation near symmetric 2% goal as most likely
  • Persistent below target inflation could lead to slide in longer-term inflation expectations
  • Levels of vulnerabilities and financial system at a moderate level
  • Federal government debt could restrain fiscal policy makers ability to support US economic activity in a downturn

For the December meeting, the expectations for unchanged policy are at 93.6%. The January meeting has expectations of a cut of 24% currently. The comments from Powell suggest that the Fed will indeed pause at the December meeting.