One for the New Zealand dollar traders, a change in forecast from HSBC on the Reserve Bank of New Zealand
The note, in summary (bolding mine for emphasis):
- Despite continued robust economic growth, inflation disappointed in Q2 and wages growth remains subdued
- Given limited inflationary pressures and a dovish central bank, we now expect the RBNZ to lift its cash rate in Q3 2018 (previously Q1 2018)
- FI/FX strategy: The NZD has rallied too far and too fast, looking misaligned with rates, which we still expect to stay low
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The HSBC note is dated 3 August 2017