Market pricing continues to paint negative Federal Reserve rates beginning in 2021.

Overnight, S&P (and other indices) cranked up the gains. As did gold.

Powell spoke on Wednesday at the Peterson Institute. In brief (this was covered extensively on Wednesday, just in summary):

  • wants to use Fed policy tools to the fullest until the recovery is beginning
  • but gave a big "No" to negative rates ... "This is not something we are looking at"

But, Powell also:

  • sounded very pessimistic on the outlook, comments along the line that the
  • recovery may a long time to get momentum behind it, liquidity issues may become solvency issues - these are very damaging both short- and long-term

Meanwhile we have President Trump urging negative rates (and Trump has a history of getting his way with Powell).

So, negative rates, yes or no folks? Comments welcome.

Federal Reserve trump powell