+90% probability of hitting area around West Palm Beach
Dorian has been upgraded to a Category 3 hurricane by the National Hurricane Center as winds reach 115 mph. That now qualifies it as a major hurricane.
Seven major hurricanes have hit Florida since 1996 including Ivan, Wilma and last year's Michael which made landfall as a Category 5 storm with 160 mph winds.
The NHC now estimates that the probability of tropical storm force winds hitting from Miami to Vero Beach is now a near certainty, with West Palm Beach currently in the center of the path.
That said, it's still early and the potential path is still wide.
![+90% probability of hitting area around West Palm Beach](http://az705044.vo.msecnd.net/20190830/2019-08-30_15-07-33.png)
Expect landfall on Monday or Tuesday.