US December industrial production data

industrial production
  • Largest rise since July
  • Prior +0.4% (revised to +0.5%)
  • Capacity utilization 74.5% vs. 73.6% estimate.
  • Prior capacity utilization 73.3%
  • Manufacturing production +0.9% vs +0.5% exp
  • Prior manufacturing production +0.8%

The retail sales report highlighted how strong demand was for autos and building materials but even excluding autos/parts, production was up 1.8% m/m.

A big assumption coming out of the pandemic is that the consumer will have lots to spend on services but how demand develops on the industrial side is less clear and I see risks to the downside.