US Oct CPI data now out 15 Nov

  • 0.5% prev
  • Core CPI mm 0.2% vs 0.2% exp vs 0.1% prev
  • yy 2.0% vs 2.0% exp vs 2.2% prev
  • Core CPI yy 1.8% vs 1.7% exp/prev
  • real ave weekly earnings yy 0.4% vs 0.6% prev
  • hourly earnings 0.4% vs 0.6%

Slight up tick in core CPI yy but apart from that not a lot to shout about on the inflation data that we didn't know but softer wages again also a concern.

All going to give the FOMC plenty to think about. Probably talked themselves into a Dec rate hike but just like BOE it's to create wiggle room to cut again when next crisis happens ( not if it happens)

US$ not liking the data and that sends USDJPY down to 112.48, USDCHF down to 0.9845 with EURUSD up to 1.1861 but GBPUSD struggling to take advantage.

  • food index was unchanged in October following slight increases in August and September
  • the energy index decreased 1.0 percent in October following increases in August and September
  • the index for all items less food and energy increased 0.2 percent in October after a 0.1-percent increase in September

Full release here