When is the Brexit vote?

It looks more and more like the Brexit vote won't be delayed and Theresa May will test support for her Brexit deal in Parliament.

The market is wholly expecting May to fail by a margin of around 60 votes but that threshold is highly uncertainty.

The vote will take place on Tuesday, January 15 and exact times are not yet confirmed but between 7-9 pm locally is expected. That's around 1900-2100 GMT or 2-4 pm in New York.

If Theresa May loses her most-likely path forward is to try to make some changes and some promises and then cobble together another vote. She may be hoping the market reaction spooks some members into changing their vote. She also may threaten a no-deal Brexit.