USD/JPY is sticky around 109.50 levels in the European morning

USD/JPY H1 23-01

With bonds also staying bid on the session, that is keeping yen pairs more heavy in European morning trade with USD/JPY continuing to linger near the 109.50 level.

The near-term bias continues to favour sellers at the moment but they are finding it tough to chew through bids and swing region support around 109.50-70 with further near-term support seen closer @ 109.44.

With price action falling back to current levels, it brings back the "old" range for USD/JPY:

USD/JPY D1 23-01

The swing region around 109.50-70 is more evident in the daily chart above with further key support seen closer around 109.00 before moving towards the key daily moving averages @ 108.68 and 108.52 respectively.

Those will be key levels to keep an eye out for in case we do see a further downside extension in the coming sessions.

Meanwhile, any topside move requires buyers to try and keep above the 110.00 handle - getting back above the key hourly moving averages near the figure level would be the first step - before attempting a firm break above recent highs around 109.29.

If anything else, I would argue that the fact we're seeing US equities continue to linger near all-time highs but not being too bullish or seeing a correction over the past few days is leaving USD/JPY traders in a bit of a pickle in deciphering the overall risk mood.

The new coronavirus outbreak is helping to tip the scales a little but unless there is a more key catalyst, traders may still need some other push before chasing a trending move.

Anyway, the longer-term picture of USD/JPY is something to also be wary about:

USD/JPY M1 23-01

Price is still sitting in a narrowing wedge with the trendline resistance helping to keep a lid on the recent upside move in the pair with the downside trendline support seen @ 105.18.

The pair is screaming for a breakout and when one does eventually come, it could lend towards a much bigger move in USD/JPY than the ranges seen in recent years.