As expected.

  • Some MPC members thought further expansion of QE was likely to be required
  • Some saw risk that spare capacity greater than assumed in November inflation report
  • Others saw risks to inflation more finely balanced, less clear that inflation would fall below target
  • Considerable downside risks from global economy, most serious near-term risks moderated
  • UK output likely to be broadly flat in Q4 2011, Q1 2012
  • UK inflation to fall sharply in coming months, extent and speed of further fall uncertain
  • Mixed news on energy prices, Middle East tensions raised risk of sharp rise in oil prices
  • No compelling reason to think that QE impact now materially different from first round