Minutes of the September Reserve Bank of Australia meeting

  • Appropriate to leave rates unchanged at September 1 meeting

(Which is why the left them unchanged ... but I'm just taking a wild guess :-D)

  • Weak Q2 growth expected, see some signs of improvement

  • Despite improving labour demand, spare capacity and wage pressures still weak
  • Growth expected to stay below average, but members saw improvement in recent months
  • Lower AUD due to significant declines in key commodity prices expected to support growth
  • Would review upcoming data to judge if rates remain appropriate
  • Very low rates to support dwelling investment and consumption growth
  • There were indications that APRA measures had slowed investment house lending
  • Will continue to work with other regulators to contain any housing market risk
  • Inflation seen remaining consistent with target over next one to two years
  • Non-mining business spending subdued in near-term, but expected to pick up over time
  • Noted global stock market volatility had not impaired functioning of other markets
  • Recent policy measures to support activity in China had not yet had their full impact

Quick headlines via Reuters, with thanks.

The full text is here: Minutes of the September 2015 Monetary Policy Meeting of the Reserve Bank Board

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My take:

  • It would appear the Board is getting a little more optimistic in its outlook
  • They are in assessment mode. Not dovish, not hawkish.
  • Inflation is not an issue
  • Support measures in China are still taking effect, so a little more positive on there also