Here are some of the numbers to consider ahead of the June non-farm payrolls report. Release time is Thursday at 8:30 am ET (1330 GMT):

  • Median estimate 215K (215K private)
  • May reading: 217K
  • High est 290K (Soc Gen)
  • Low est 160K (Westpac)
  • Standard deviation: 21K
  • NFP 6-month avg 192K
  • Unemployment rate est. at 6.3% vs 6.3% prior
  • Prior participation rate 62.8%
  • ADP 281K vs 179K prior (205K exp)
  • ISM June manufacturing employment 52.8 vs 52.8 prior
  • ISM May non-manufacturing employment: 52.4 vs 51.3 prior
  • Consumer Confidence jobs-hard-to-get: 31.8 vs 32.2 prior
  • Initial jobless claims 4-wk moving avg: 314K vs 310.5K at the time of the May jobs report
  • Conference Board Help Wanted OnLine showed demand for jobs up 155.9K
  • April JOLTS job openings: 4455K vs 4166K prior
non farm payrolls vs estimate

non farm payrolls vs estimate