Via The Guardian: Scottish independence: TNS poll finds 1% gap between yes and no

  • A dramatic surge in support for Scottish independence has been confirmed by a further poll which shows that next week’s referendum is on a knife edge, with only a 1% gap between yes and no.
  • The poll by TNS has found that support for independence has jumped by six points in the last month,
  • Putting the yes vote at 38% and the no vote at 39%
  • Thereby wiping out a 12-point lead for the pro-UK campaign led by former chancellor Alistair Darling
  • The switch in support will delight the yes campaign but deeply alarm their opponents, coming after a YouGov poll found the pro-independence vote had a narrow one-point lead for the first time

TNS had originally planned to release its findings overnight on Tuesday, but brought that forward after worried City analysts and market traders called them about their poll, for the first time, following YouGov’s findings.

  • Another poll released on Sunday by Panelbase for the pro-independence campaign Yes Scotland found the no vote was still in the lead, at 52% compared to 48% for yes, excluding undecideds.

Overnight: