This via Westpac on the New Zealand dollar ahead:

  • Potential for further weakness during the month ahead below 0.6400, with the USD retaining potential for further gains.
  • The Fed quashed talk of 75bp hikes, but does expect two more 50bp hikes and then 25bp moves in a path to neutral or beyond, and that should be USD supportive near term.
  • In H2 though, the Fed story should be fully priced, and commodities will again dominate, pushing the NZD above 0.7000.

Weekly NZD/USD candles:

nzd 06 May 2022