TD on the Reserve Bank of Australia, not looking for a rate cut

  • We see no need for a cash rate reduction from the RBA to lower AUD
  • trade continues to thrive
  • The risk to our base case (November 2019 hike) is skewed towards lower for longer, staying at 1.5% into 2020

TD not impressed with market pessimism.

Yesterday NAB removed their forecast RBA rate hkes in 2019:

AMP went much further - looking for big cuts from the Bank: