Economy set to pick up in Q2. Should see pick up a wage growth

  • too hasty to conclude the job market is at a point where inflation pressures are starting to build
  • I will do its part to meet inflation objective, makes no mention of the need for rate hikes more likely pace of any future hikes
  • there are risks on both sides of Outlook, bank will continue to pay close attention to wages, oil prices, the housing market, global trade policy
  • sees signs of labor market strength of wage growth is still shy of what one would expect in tight market
  • wage gains in energy intensive regions continue to lag behind those in the rest of the country
  • reasons for subdued wage growth include skills mismatches, reluctance of people to look for better jobs, high cost of living in some cities
  • history tell us that job churn will pick up as employment continues to grow and should lead to employers offering higher wages
  • Gig economy has created new set of jobs that cuts bargaining power of workers
  • estimates can aid in stewing nonstandard work, but want more formal employment equivalent to 700k full-time positions