Forex news for US trading on July 6, 2015

  • Greek vote could turn the euro trade upside down
  • Tsipras agrees to submit proposal at Tuesday's summit
  • Germany continues to take the hard line on Greece
  • Bankers say that Greece will issue a new decree to keep banks closed
  • New Greek proposal will be based on the last plan put forward by Junker - MNI
  • June 2015 US Markit services PMI final 54.8 vs 54.9 exp
  • ECB QE count: PSP up by €10.766bn to €204.7bn
  • Tsakalotos to be confirmed as new Greek finance minister
  • June 2015 US ISM non-manufacturing PMI 56.0 vs 56.2 exp
  • June Canada Ivey PMI index 55.9 vs 56.0 exp.
  • Forex technical analysis: EURUSD moves back toward trend line and MA resistance
  • Tsipras gets party leaders signing from the same hymn sheet
  • Greek banks could cope until Wednesday without more aid
  • European stocks recover some but still take a beating
  • Life after the vote - Is Greece closer or further away from an exit?
  • Greek banks to remain closed Tuesday and Wednesday
  • Fitch: It will be difficult for Greece to strike even a limited deal by July 20
  • CFTC Commitments of Traders for week ending June 30, 2015
  • Greece new FM Tsakalotos speaks at press conference after swearing in
  • ECB keeps emergency liquidity for Greek banks unchanged, but adjust haircut on collateral
  • Forex technical analysis: Crude oil hits the skids and so does the CAD
  • Dijsselbloem: Greek banks are very unstable at the moment

As NY traders entered for the trading day/week, the major currency pairs had already filled any price gaps from the Greece "no" vote.

The EURUSD continued its up and down pattern with a moved higher in the NY morning hours. ISM Non-manufacturing data was a touch weaker than expectations at 56.0 vs 56.2, the news out of Greece was not anything new and technically, the price of the pair moved back above the 100 day MA at the 1.10378. Those dynamics proved enough to solicit more buying and a revisit of the highs. When in the afternoon, headlines from the ECB said they would keep Emergency Liquidity Assistance unchanged but added that there would be an additional increase in the haircut on collateral, effectively lowering the cash buffer available at Greek banks, the EURUSD price wandered back lower where it tested the 100 day MA before moving higher into close. The 100 day MA at the 1.1034 in the new day will be a key level to stay above if the bulls are to have a chance to keep in control.

The USDCAD was a trend mover for most of the North American session as Crude oil got hammered by over 7% on the day. Concerns about China after the recent stock market plunge, concerns about Greece, and potential for further supply from Iran were the fundamental reasons for the decline There also was a report which showed that investment capital spending by businesses was expected to decline in 2015. This would represent the 1st declines since 2009.The USDCAD took it's clue from those stories and moved higher. The pair traded at the highest level since April 10 at 1.2662. If oil continues it's fall, the loonie could find it may be testing the highs for the year before too long (at 1.2796 and 1.2833 respectively. .

The GBPUSD extended the trading range for the pair to the upside on the back of the dollar weakness. In the process, the price tested the 100 hour MA at the 1.5621 area. The pair could not find additional momentum, however, and the price rotated lower in sympathy with the EURUSDs afternoon fall.

The AUDUSD traded at the lowest level since the week of May 3, 2009 (at 0.7460) as the market awaits the RBA decision in the new trading day. The central bank is expected to keep rates unchanged. At the last meeting, the RBA commented that the currency remained too high but did not give an explicit easing hint. Since that meeting the AUDUSD has moved up and down. However, in the last week of trading, the pair has made a break to new multi year lows. The pair goes into the meeting with no expectations for any change in policy but at lower levels. Versus the USD, the AUD is lower by about 100 pips since the last meeting, the AUD had weakened more against the JPY, GBP and EUR, however. Nevertheless, with China stock market on it's back and concerns about Greece, it is logical to expect more of the same rhetoric from Governor Stevens and the RBA when the decision is announced and he holds his customary press conference. .

Good fortune with your trading.

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