Forex news for New York trading on December 6, 2016.

  • The US stock indices end session higher.
  • How does the USDCAD look from a technical perspective?
  • Trump: Masa (Softbank) of Japan has agreed to invest $50B in US
  • CAD into BOC decision: 3 Driving Factors; Where to target - BofA
  • European stocks end the day near highs
  • Atlanta Fed GDPNow estimate falls to 2.6% from 2.9% last
  • What two questions do Goldman Sachs want answered by the ECB?
  • US Business Roundtable sees more hiring and sales
  • Do over. UK office for national statistics admit processing error
  • The IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism index for Dec. comes in at 54.8 vs 52.0 est
  • November 2016 Canadian Ivey PMI 56.8 vs 60.0 exp SA
  • October 2016 US factory orders 2.7% vs 2.6% exp m/m
  • UK's ONS find errors in trade data
  • UK's FCA to clamp down on CFD trading
  • New Zealand GDT auction price index 3.5%
  • 18 months is ample time to negotiate Brexit says Boris
  • September 2016 US international trade balance -42.6bn vs -41.8bn exp
  • Q3 2016 US non-farm productivity revision 3.1% vs 3.3% exp
  • The strongest and weakest currencies as NA traders enter for the day

In other markets:

  • S&P index +7.52 points o +0.34%. Nasdaq composite index +0.45%. Dow closed at another record close, up 0.18%
  • US interest rates were mixed. 2-year note note 1.111%, -1 basis point. 10 year note 2.390%, uunchanged. 30 year bond 3.076%,, plus 1 basis point.
  • Spot gold $1169 $-.72 or -0.06%
  • Crude ooil futures $50.82, $-.97 or -1.9%
  • The strong as currency is the US dollar the weakest currency is the GBP.

The USD is the strongest currency in trading today but the overall activity remains contained. The market is waiting for the next interest rate decisions this week. The Bank of Canada will be tomorrow at 10 AM ET. No change is expected (Click here and here). The ECB will have their announcement on Thursday with their press conference to follow. They are expected to announce an extension of QE.

Today, the non farm productivity and trade data was not up to expectations, but productivity for Q3 was still a respectable 3.1% and you can argue the higher income reported with the report, is good news for workers too. Later US Factory orders came in better than expected with Durable goods orders at 4.6% showing good strength. The IBD/TIPP edonomic optimism index came in much better than expected at 54.8 vs 52.0 estimate. The surveyed love Trump.

Speaking of the Trump, he continues to blaze the Twitter trail - tweeting that Boeing was ripping America off with the 4B estimated price tag for two new Air Force Ones. He said that Boeing was "doing a bit of a number" on the US government. The tweet sent the shares of Boeing lower but by the end of the day, the price had recovered. Helping stocks recover was another tweet staying that Softbank would invest 50B in the US that would create 50K new jobs. Visions of money flowing in the US is back in full force. The deal maker is doing deals. The dollar got a bit of a boost off the better stock tone - BUT understand - the gains were still limited.

The EURUSD traded in a 28 pip trading range for the NY morning session. The price wandered lower but activity was contained. Prior to the London traders heading home, there was one last break lower that saw the price move below the "old low" going back to January 2016 at 1.0708. The 1.0700 level was broken but only to 1.06977. The final 3 or so hours of the trading day, saw the price rebound back higher. The 1.0708 will continue to be eyed by dollar bulls. If it can be broken and remain broken, the bears will be more in control Remember, however, that the ECB meeting on Thursday may keep this pair in a trading range. The 100 hour MA at 1.0666 is level to eye for support on a dip.

The GBPUSD today pushed higher in Asian Pacific trading - working it's way to a new high 2- month high at 1.27774. That got the price closer to the 100 day MA at 1.2787. The price has not been above the 100 day MA since the Brexit vote on June 24th. From there, profit takers took the price lower. In the new trading day, the 100 hour MA at the 1.2652 will be targeted as close support. The low today reached 1.26555.

The USDJPY started the NY session in a narrow trading range of 69 pips and remained within that range for the entire session. In fact, the NY range was only 47 pips. The pair traded above and below the 100 hour MA at 113.98. The day close right around that level. The market is not sure of where it wants to go. Watch a break above the 114.20 (more bullish), or below 113.50 and then the 200 hour MA at 113.36 for a more bearish picture.

In the new trading day, Australia will report AIG construction index. It was last at 45.9. They will also report GDP with expectations of +0.2% vs +0.5% last. YoY is expected to come in at 2.2%.

Below is a snapshot of the % change of the major currencies vs each other for the day.