CPI (flash) HICP (flash)
– January – – January –
%mom %yoy %mom %yoy

Median Forecast -0.4 2.0 -0.5 2.4
High forecast -0.2 2.3 -0.2 2.6
Low forecast -0.5 1.9 -0.6 2.2
Previous period 0.7 2.1 0.7 2.3

Number of responses 10 12 8 10

4Cast -0.5 1.9 -0.6 2.2
Barclays Cap. -0.4 2.1 -0.5 2.4
BNP Paribas -0.4 2.0 -0.4 2.4
BoA-ML n/a n/a n/a 2.4
Capital Economics n/a n/a -0.5 2.3
Citi -0.5 2.0 -0.5 2.3
Commerzbank -0.4 2.0 n/a n/a
DZ Bank n/a n/a n/a 2.3
LBBW n/a 2.0 n/a n/a
Natixis -0.2 2.3 -0.2 2.6
Soc. Generale -0.4 2.0 -0.6 2.2
Standard Chartered -0.5 2.0 n/a n/a
UBS -0.2 2.3 -0.2 2.4
Unicredit n/a 1.9 n/a n/a
West LB -0.5 1.9 n/a n/a

Retail Sales Unemployment
– December – – January –
%mom %yoy rate (%) change (‘000s)

Median Forecast 0.8 1.2 6.8 -12.5
High forecast 1.4 1.5 6.8 0.0
Low forecast 0.3 0.0 6.7 -30.0
Previous period -0.9 0.8

Number of responses 10 4 12 12

4Cast n/a n/a 6.8 -8.0
Barclays Cap. 1.1 1.5 6.8 -10.0
BNP Paribas n/a n/a 6.8 -10.0
Capital Economics 0.5 0.9 6.7 n/a
Citi 1.4 n/a n/a -15.0
Commerzbank 0.5 0.0 n/a -20.0
DZ Bank 0.5 n/a 6.7 -15.0
LBBW 0.8 n/a 6.8 n/a
Natixis n/a n/a 6.8 -15.0
Soc. Generale 1.0 1.4 6.8 -30.0
Standard Chartered 0.7 n/a 6.8 -10.0
UBS 0.3 n/a 6.8 0.0
Unicredit n/a n/a 6.8 -5.0
West LB 0.8 n/a 6.8 -15.0
———————————————————————–
* Median is based on above forecasts and is not intended to represent
a consensus.

The survey was conducted on Friday, January 27.

[TOPICS: MTABLE,M$GDS$,M$G$$$,M$XDS$,M$X$$$]