According to a poll carried out by Survation for the right--of-centre UK newspaper Mail on Sunday

The poll of 1017 people over Friday/Saturday has the following outcome:

OUT 53%

IN 47%

The No vote is the largest since last year's UK General Election when a similarly commissioned poll showed a 54-46 split in favour of staying In and now cites the Paris massacre, Cologne New Year attacks and on-going Syrian crisis forcing more refugees into the EU.

The survey supports though the claims that a 'fear factor', concerning the consequences of Britain having to 'go it alone' outside the EU, may lead an 11th hour loss of nerve among some who would like to vote Leave. A total of 43% say 'Out' supporters could change their mind come referendum day; only 28% say 'Remain' supporters will have a similar loss of nerve. The poll published by MOS appears not to offer an Undecided option.

I've checked @Survation and another tweeted result has:

Leave 42% (unchanged) Remain 38% (-3) Undecided 21% (+3)

which as someone on their feed rightly points out adds up to 101% thus adding to the sceptical view of any of these polls.

What's interesting though is the poll shows a definite influence on both the No and Yes voting patterns depending on which ticket certain Tory high profile figures, such as London Mayor Boris Jonhnson, campaign. More pertinent since PM Cameron climbed down recently to allow a free vote amongst his party's MPs.

Homo Sapien may well be a conservative creature of habit but I have long held the view, and voiced it on these pages, that the possibility of a No vote should not be underestimated. Furthermore that the uncertainty/potential fall-out is contributing to the pound's decline although not the sole reason by any means.

We know from the UK Election forecasts that the end result can spring a major surprise but that's not to say the market can't be influenced in the meantime. There is still much debate about when exactly all this will take place but estimates are being pushed back.

Ryan posted his own thoughts on the Brexit hype here last week. Also worth a read.

The Mail on Sunday has more on the poll and EU referendum here.

The BBC continue their own comprehensive coverage here

Enjoy the rest of your week-end and don't forget to find some time to rest. It's going to be another nutty week ahead.

PM Cameron still has a lot of work to do to convince UK voters