But also see business investment to pick up significantly

A Reuters poll of US economists shows:

  • 44 of 50 economists say trade dispute with China to harm US economy and will dull the expected fiscal stimulus boost
  • 31 of 50 economists expect business investment pick up significantly this year
  • consensus is for 2.8% growth this year, but slowing to 2.4% next year
  • Core PCE index would only reach the 2% target in the 3rd quarter and level out to average slightly above that 2% level next year
  • Economists expect for rate hikes this year. That is above the 3 from the Fed.

The poll of economists suggests the White House hopes for sustained economic growth about 3% will not be realized, which in turn may spawn future expectations for even bigger budget deficits over the coming years