Eurozone June final manufacturing PMI 43.4 vs 43.6 prelim

• Prior 44.8

The manufacturing output index falls to an eight-month low as subdued demand conditions are weighing. Other things of note, we are seeing manufacturing employment decline for the first time since January 2021 and business confidence dipped to a seven-month low. HCOB notes that:

“Eurozone manufacturing production contracted for the third month in a row in June, according to the PMI output index, with the rate of decline accelerating and pointing to a worsening of factory conditions. New orders also fell at a faster rate, which further increases the likelihood that industrial production, which contracted by 0.9 % month-on-month in the first quarter according to Eurostat, will drop again in the second quarter.

"There is growing evidence that the capital-intensive industrial sector is reacting negatively to the ECB's interest rate hikes. Companies surveyed reduced their headcounts for the first time since January 2021, and purchasing activity declined at one of the worst rates on record. Cuts to sales prices for the second month in a row come as no surprise given the weakness in demand and rapid rate of cost deflation.

"The downturn is visible across the board geographically as all four of the biggest eurozone countries remained in contraction in June. In terms of new orders, the weakness in demand is most pronounced in Germany, followed by Italy and France.

"Delivery times are continuing to normalize, with the corresponding index signalling that since February, companies in the currency union are receiving their goods more quickly than in the previous month. While is seems as if companies do not complain so much anymore about delivery times, shortages of materials are still a lingering issue. According to DG ECFIN, for example, around 28% of companies in the eurozone complained of a shortage of materials in the second quarter - by 2019, this figure had averaged just under 7%."

/EUR EUR The euro (EUR) is the official currency of the European Union (EU) and 19 of 27 member states at the time of writing. It is the second most-traded currency worldwide in forex markets after the US dollar.The euro was originally introduced back on January 1, 1999, having replaced the European Currency Unit. Banknotes and physical euro coins subsequently entered circulation only in 2002.Upon its adoption, the euro replaced domestic currencies in participating EU member states. The rise in its value The euro (EUR) is the official currency of the European Union (EU) and 19 of 27 member states at the time of writing. It is the second most-traded currency worldwide in forex markets after the US dollar.The euro was originally introduced back on January 1, 1999, having replaced the European Currency Unit. Banknotes and physical euro coins subsequently entered circulation only in 2002.Upon its adoption, the euro replaced domestic currencies in participating EU member states. The rise in its value Read this Term