ECBs Holzmann via Econostream, says that if the situation remains the same before the December 15 meeting, he would support a 75 BP hike. However, if there is a major HICP reduction, could be swayed back to 50 BPS.
- No major recession seen for now
- On QT sees strong concensus that we should start small to test the market
- Should start with APP. PEPP much later
- Still very much concerned with de-anchoring of inflation expectations.
- Adds that 75 bps would bring them in a neutral area.
Click here for the link to the story.
The EURUSD has wandered higher in the NY session but has reversed back lower as the time ticks to the London fixing. The pair is tradin at 1.2040. The price moves below the 200 hour MA earlier today (green line) along with the 38.2% of the move up from the November 10 low (at 1.0272). The 50% of the same move is at 1.02076 and is the next downside target on further weakness.