RBNZ's Silk says recession forecast shows it'd be shallow and technical

The Reserve Bank of New Zealand's Karen Silk is Assistant Governor/General Manager Economics, Financial Markets and Banking.

Comments crossing:

• Forecast recession would be a shallow and technical one
• Will be closely monitoring higher frequency data such as spending data, and next CPI report to determine move in February
• Need to see inflation Inflation Inflation is defined as a quantitative measure of the rate in which the average price level of goods and services in an economy or country increases over a period of time. It is the rise in the general level of prices where a given currency effectively buys less than it did in prior periods.In terms of assessing the strength or currencies, and by extension foreign exchange, inflation or measures of it are extremely influential. Inflation stems from the overall creation of money. This money is m Inflation is defined as a quantitative measure of the rate in which the average price level of goods and services in an economy or country increases over a period of time. It is the rise in the general level of prices where a given currency effectively buys less than it did in prior periods.In terms of assessing the strength or currencies, and by extension foreign exchange, inflation or measures of it are extremely influential. Inflation stems from the overall creation of money. This money is m Read this Term turn, inflation expectations to come down for a slowdown in tightening
• New Zealand is not being substantially more aggressive than its peers

Last week the RBNZ hiked its cash rate by 75 bp, its biggest jump ever. Silk sounds overconfident on her forecast given the Bank had to play catch up as recently as last week!

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NZD/USD NZD/USD Understanding NZD/USD: A Comprehensive GuideThe NZD/USD is a commonly offered currency pair representing the New Zealand dollar or Kiwi and US dollar. The pair is popular for exposure to a commodity currency, i.e. the NZD, which helps capture the risk appetite of forex traders. Like its Antipodean counterpart, the Australian Dollar, the NZD/USD is seen as a carry trade, due in part to interest rate differentials which favor the NZD. The NZD is the world’s seventh most liquid pair at the time of Understanding NZD/USD: A Comprehensive GuideThe NZD/USD is a commonly offered currency pair representing the New Zealand dollar or Kiwi and US dollar. The pair is popular for exposure to a commodity currency, i.e. the NZD, which helps capture the risk appetite of forex traders. Like its Antipodean counterpart, the Australian Dollar, the NZD/USD is seen as a carry trade, due in part to interest rate differentials which favor the NZD. The NZD is the world’s seventh most liquid pair at the time of Read this Term has sold off today alongside the higher USD almost across the majors board (USD/JPY is down).