Why it may be downhill from here for the US dollar

Late yesterday, Marketwatch published an unfortunately-timed story on why the US dollar is set for a fall. But like all things in FX, they may be right, just not right now.

What the bears are saying:

  • This is just a positioning squeeze on crowded USD longs
  • This is a continued secular USD bear market
  • Rising trade deficit
  • Rising fiscal deficit
  • Global liquidity is tightening and the US dollar will have to compete for investment flows

Read more here.