From an ANZ research note

  • Expects the Reserve Bank of New Zealand "to fully reverse the 100 bps of hikes in 2014 with cuts"
  • Forecasts 2015/16 dairy payout to $4.50

Earlier from ANZ:

  • Market is struggling to digest larger seasonal volumes from New Zealand dairy producers
  • Little on the horizon to suggest any meaningful turnaround in dairy prices
  • Falling milk price payments suggest restrictions on farm cash flows will extend well into the start of 2017 season
  • Will further impact on confidence, investment, spending

NZD extending its overnight losses this morning:

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