Finance dept issues fiscal update

Other details:

  • Canada budget deficit to be C$3.9 billion in 2016 – 17
  • cuts WTI assumption to $49 and 2015, $54 and 2016
  • lowers 2016 GDP growth forecast at 2% from 2.2%
  • budget update includes C$ 3 billion in risk set upside
  • Canada lowers 2015 GDP growth forecast 1.2% from 2%

The Conservative budget forecasted a 2-3 billlion surplus for this year. The new liberal finance minister now sees a 3 billion deficit.

Canada's Finance Minister Morneau adds:

  • Canada must focus on inclusive growth
  • Canada economy hasn't performed as well as expected
  • it is not possible to cut our way to prosperity
  • Consensus at G20 is it is a challenging time for economy
  • Risks to Canada economy tilted to downside
  • Cites need for balance between fiscal responsibility and the government's campaign promises
  • declined to save deficits will surpass C$10 billion
  • worse economic outlook reinforces need for spending plan promised by liberals

The USDCAD is trading at 1.3302 as headlines start (at 10:45 AM ET). The pair is now finding a bid on the more sanguine government projections. Trades at new NA session highs into the London fixing.