Bullard speaks to reporters

  • There is too much uncertainty around tariffs to assess impact at the moment
  • Hopes US and China will get a good outcome on trade
  • Recent inflation data has been unsurprising
  • Global growth surprise, especially in Europe, wasn't priced in and that has led to USD weakness
  • Not yet clear if Fed will have review of inflation framework but he supports a regular review
  • Review would likely reaffirm the current framework but it would be a good exercise to do every 5 years or so
  • Even if Q1 weaker than expected, it would not affect Fed's medium term outlook
  • Doesn't see major change in unemployment rate by year-end
  • Aggressive hikes could lead to inverted yield curve
  • Yield curve ok now but risks are there for later this year and next

I thought Bullard might tilt to something a bit more hawkish but he's not giving away much.