• Trichet: Strong vigilance warranted to curb inflation: Rejects anything other than strictly voluntary Greek debt rollover; ECB has no intention of participating
  • US weekly jobless claims up 1,000 to 427,000 versus expectations of 415,000
  • US April trade deficit tumbles to $43.7 bln on Japanese imports disrupted
  • Moody’s places Portugal’s large banks on review for a downgrade
  • Reuters: New Greek bailout may total additional EUR 120 bln
  • US wholesale inventories wise 0.8% in April; less than forecast
  • IMF: Any involuntary debt restructuring in Greece would be undesirable
  • US household net worth $58.1 trln in Q1
  • Fed’s Yellen: US recovery uneven; no quick solution for housing problems
  • Germany demands private sector, IMF participation in next round of Greek aid
  • US 10-year notes rise 5 bp to to 2.99%
  • S&P 500 rises 0.75%
  • Oil rise $1 to 101.75; gold rises $6 to 1544.

EUR/USD fell despite Trichet signaling the expected July rate hike. Part of the slide was a buy-the-rumor/sell the news reaction while much of the slide was as a result of a widening rift between the ECB and the German government. The ECB wants to avoid a credit event in Greek debt at all costs; The Germans want bondholders to pick up part of the bailout tab….

EUR/USD triggered large stops below the 1.4550 level and again below 1.4500. We fell as low as 1.4476 before settling into a 1.4500/40 afternoon range. Offers are seen in the 1.4555/65 region while trailing stops are eyed above.

Bids at 1.4450 with stops below. More bids at 1.4420, the 38.2% retracement of the 1.3970/1.4695 rally. Stops below.