GS say that a rate cut from Banxico (Banco de México)could come without much warning

  • possibly as early as September
  • GS says monetary policy in Mexico is was "way too tight"
  • cut could come without much warning, not going to be preparing the ground over two or three meeting

GS cite:

  • economy underperforming
  • output gap widening
  • signs of a damaged jobs market

GS say a positive is demand, no cut needed to boost demand

Deal with the US adds costs for Mexico:

  • border protection
  • housing and feeding asylum seekers
  • potential political cost